TRIS Rating Affirms Company Rating of “BCP” at “BBB+/Positive” and Affirms Issue Rating of “SIAMDR” at “AA/Stable”

TRIS Rating Co., Ltd. has affirmed the company rating of The Bangchak Petroleum PLC (BCP) at “BBB+” with “positive” outlook. The rating reflects BCP’s satisfactory refinery operations, strengthened balance sheet, and integration and support from PTT PLC (PTT). The rating also takes into consideration the fluctuations in oil prices and gross refining margins as well as declining demand for refined petroleum products.


The “positive” outlook reflects the expectation that BCP’s new cracking unit will alleviate the existing refinery limitations and yield more high-value refined products. The flexibility in operating two crude distillation unit (CDU) trains will enable BCP to capture new opportunities to maximize gross refining margin and help BCP weather the down cycles of the refining business.

TRIS Rating reported that BCP was established in 1985 and listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) in 1993. The company owns and operates an oil refinery located in Bangkok with a capacity of 120 thousand barrels per day (KBD). The company also operates approximately 1,000 service stations under the “Bangchak” brand. After a capital increase in May 2006, PTT became the major shareholder of BCP. As of April 2009, PTT held 29.7% of BCP, the Ministry of Finance (MOF) held 11.2%, and the remaining 59.1% was held by the public. As a simple refinery, BCP produces a higher portion of fuel oil, which is a lower-value product, than a complex refinery. The average product mix during 2005 to 2009 was diesel (35%), fuel oil (32%), gasoline (17%) and other refined products (16%).

TRIS Rating said about BCP’s operating performance that it has continuously improved. The refinery utilization rate increased from 48% in 2006 to 69% for the first half of 2009 as the company has been able to export premium-grade fuel oil to China and Japan. Cheaper domestic crude now makes up a larger portion of stock feed needs. Higher selling prices for premium-grade fuel oil plus a substantial gain from hedging pushed BCP’s total gross refining margin (GRM) to US$13.08 per barrel for the first half of 2009. The marketing margin of BCP improved continually in the second half of 2008 through the first half of 2009, after recording a negative margin in the first half of 2008. BCP could adjust retail prices in line with changes in the ex-refinery prices, resulting in a favorable marketing margin of Bt0.64 per liter in the first half of 2009. Combining the refining and marketing businesses, earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) improved to Bt7,094 million in the first half of 2009 from Bt4,384 million in first half of 2008.

The product quality improvement (PQI) project will enhance BCP’s refinery performance and gross refining margin. The refinery will be able to process more varieties of crude, especially heavy and sour crude. The proportion of gasoline and middle distillates is expected to increase from the existing level of 64% to 82%. In addition, two trains of CDU, operating at 80 KBD and 40 KBD, may enhance gross refining margin. The CDU with 80 KBD of capacity may be utilized as a complex refinery to maximize the amount of gasoline and middle distillates produced. The other CDU may operate as a simple refinery to produce very low sulfur fuel oil (FOVS) for export.

TRIS Rating said, BCP’s capital structure remained healthy, with a debt to capitalization ratio of 42.5% as of June 2009. The construction of the cracking unit and the bio-diesel plant have been completed and will be ready for the Commercial Operation Date (COD) in late 2009. BCP’s capital expenditures in the coming years will be moderate and the debt to capitalization ratio is expected to maintain at 40%-45%.

TRIS Rating sees the global economic slowdown has reduced demand for refined petroleum products. New refining capacity in the Asia-Pacific region during 2009-2011 would possibly lead to a regional over-supply situation and, in turn, put more pressure on gross refining margin.

At the same time, TRIS Rating has also affirmed the “AA” rating with “stable” outlook for the Bt4,000 million in depository receipts on BCP’s subordinated convertible debentures (BCP141A) issued by Siam DR Co., Ltd. (SIAMDR). The rating reflects the credit support, in terms of principal protection, provided by the Ministry of Finance (MOF) to buy back the issue at the original offering price should BCP be unable to make the scheduled payments on time. The rating also reflects the additional security elements embedded in the transaction structure and the credit quality of the underlying issuer, BCP. The “stable” outlook for the depository receipts is derived from the principal protection provided by the MOF and the credit quality of BCP.